Blog

And it s not as if they re operating world where only ones interested AI plenty of people space are doing research have specifically said don care about safety that think issue. I think this exercise gives us a high posterior for theism even starting with low prior. I would not be surprised at all to find five years that places where effective altruists have been are considered prime territory for kidnapping child soldiers and slaves. Of course ideally you really should have time and space invariant morality but the interventions decisions made be based certainty impact well size | scintillion language:en

Our logical uncertainty requires us to account for that as complexity. Someone who isn t a doctor may be making less money but the value of their direct effort at helping also lower they might donate enough produce say QALYs as computer engineer human resources specialist would than . says August at am I want emphasize that picked the bridge metaphor because it path rather than destination. A nominalist about bridges still has fine idea that to provide transit from one point another knows damn well what causal role of

But most people in FAI think that directly working on is even higher . ton says August at pm Daniel First of all the term psychopath is highly misleading strawman when applied rational egoism. Right now the balance is lopsided enough people are willing to do work including lowwage workers who may not care about cause but would make effort pay there too little money. says August at pm This called Error Propagation. A correct argument. b The total probability of AI extinction is nontrivial say . As Matthews suggests you end up being able to show whatever want when distort math this way. I suspect Nick Bostrom as well Toby ord and Will MacAskill have done work this problem

Brad says August at pm It isn like becoming successful hedgie sure thing even if you are really smart. is many orders of magnitude too high. I had bunch of arguments here about why AI research seems less likely to be effective but after running through the calculation it doesn they outweigh lower marginal climate change donation. Of course Scott and Yudkowsky both know the difference abstractly but in practice they treat utilitarianism as were same. AlphaCeph says August at am my uncertainty is so immense that conditioned being problem all have no idea whether donating to MIRI or any other concrete step can think of more likely help hurt. Tarrou says August at pm Worse tter ton Well for the person falling it better trying exploit . I also believe there exist objective principles which factor into civil engineering used build successful bridges . Looking over my smart competent interested university colleagues who gone to investment banks you probably chance of getting into the hedgefund world. But taking morality as stemming from the objective requirements of acting accordance with choice to live then there are reasons avoid torture. Changes the complexity. Deiseach says August at am So why should trust Bostrum human lifeyears or lives of could be in our future we both master travel between solar systems and figure out how to emulate brains computers figures He very plainly has cause believes wants make appealing possible